Part 3: The future outlook: What's coming in 2026 and beyond

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Published on
February 3, 2026

The convergence reshaping fraud prevention

In Parts 1 and 2, we explored the escalating sophistication of invoice fraud and the five essential steps to managing it at scale. Now we look ahead to understand how the fraud prevention landscape is fundamentally transforming, and why the choices you make today will determine whether your operation thrives or struggles in the years ahead.

The future isn't about incremental improvements to existing approaches. It's about wholesale convergence: the merging of fraud prevention, cybersecurity, and identity management into unified operational platforms. Organisations clinging to fragmented point solutions and siloed thinking won't just fall behind, they'll become easy targets for increasingly sophisticated attacks.

Regulatory changes reshaping the landscape

E-invoicing mandates: The global shift

France implements mandatory e-invoicing in 2026, with Germany, Italy, Spain and other EU countries expected to follow within 18 months. This isn't just a European phenomenon, governments worldwide recognise that e-invoicing is essential infrastructure for fraud prevention and tax compliance.

The economic case is compelling:

  • E-invoicing reduces fraud incidents by 30%
  • Tax fines decrease by 27%
  • Lost invoices drop by 40%
  • Across six major markets, full e-invoicing adoption could unlock $616 billion in economic gains

But there's what operations managers need to understand: e-invoicing mandates aren't primarily about efficiency, they're about control and visibility. Governments want real-time insight into commercial transactions to combat tax evasion and fraud. This creates both opportunity and obligation for businesses.

What this means for your operation:

  • Manual invoice processing will become increasingly non-compliant in major markets
  • Systems unable to handle e-invoicing standards will require replacement
  • Cross-border operations will need to comply with multiple jurisdictions simultaneously
  • The cost of non-compliance will include fines, audit exposure and competitive disadvantage

The opportunity: Organisations that implement e-invoicing now, before mandates force their hand, gain fraud prevention benefits immediately while preparing for regulatory requirements.Those who wait face rushed implementation under compliance pressure.

Payment system reimbursement requirements

The UK's Payment Systems Regulator introduced new APP fraud reimbursement rules in October 2024, requiring payment providers to reimburse victims of Authorised Push Payment fraud. Currently, 88% of in-scope fraud losses are being reimbursed, shifting financial liability from victims to payment providers.

The ripple effects:

Payment providers passing reimbursement costs to businesses through higher fees, more stringent verification requirements before authorising payments and increased rejection of legitimate but unusual transactions create friction.

Global momentum:

Similar regulations are emerging across developed markets. Australia, Singapore, the EU and Canada are all developing frameworks that shift fraud liability and require stronger prevention. The U.S. is following with the bipartisan TRAPS Act proposed in June 2025 to establish federal task forces focused on digital payment scams.

What this means for operations managers:

  • Payment costs will increase as providers pass through reimbursement expenses
  • Payment friction will increase as providers implement stricter controls
  • Documentation requirements will intensify, expect to justify unusual payments
  • Organisations with poor fraud prevention will face higher costs and more rejected payments

The strategic response: Build robust internal fraud prevention now, before external controls create operational friction. Organisations that can demonstrate strong fraud controls will negotiate better payment processing terms and experience less friction.

EU PSD3 and PSR1: Strengthening digital payment security

Expected to come into effect in 2026, the Third Payment Services Directive (PSD3) and Payment Services Regulation 1 (PSR1) will strengthen fraud prevention requirements across European payment systems.

Key provisions affecting operations:

  • Enhanced strong customer authentication requirements
  • Expanded liability frameworks for payment fraud
  • Stricter requirements for payment service providers
  • Greater obligations for fraud monitoring and reporting
  • Increased penalties for non-compliance

For multi-site operations with any European presence, compliance becomes mandatory not optional. But beyond compliance, these regulations signal where global standards are heading. What's required in the EU in 2026 will likely be expected elsewhere by 2028.

Technology trends reshaping defense

Real-time payments: speed creates both opportunity and vulnerability

The instant payments market will reach $58 trillion by 2028, up 161% from 2024. Real-time payment adoption accelerates across developed and developing markets, driven by consumer expectations, business efficiency and government infrastructure investments.

The fraud challenge: Real-time payments settle in under 10 seconds, too fast for traditional fraud checks. Once funds transfer they're irrevocable. Recovery is nearly impossible.

The technology requirement: Fraud decisions must happen in milliseconds, not minutes. This demands:

  • AI and machine learning become essential, not optional
  • Behavioural analytics analysing patterns in real-time
  • Predictive scoring assessing fraud risk before payment executes
  • Automated decisioning with human oversight only for edge cases

Traditional batch processing fraud checks become obsolete. Systems that review transactions hours or days after they occur can't protect against instant payment fraud. The future belongs to platforms that assess risk and make decisions in real-time, during the payment flow.

What this means for your operation:

Purpose-built platforms that integrate fraud detection into payment processing workflows become essential. Bolt-on fraud detection systems that operate separately from payment systems can't react fast enough.

Behavioural biometrics and continuous authentication

Static identity checks, username, password, maybe two-factor authentication at login are proving insufficient against sophisticated attacks. Fraudsters steal credentials, by-pass 2FA and operate inside compromised accounts undetected.

The solution emerging across leading organisations:

Physiological biometrics:

  • Fingerprint recognition
  • Facial recognition
  • Voice authentication
  • Iris scanning

Behavioral analytics:

  • Keystroke dynamics (typing patterns)
  • Mouse movement patterns
  • Navigation habits
  • Device usage behaviours
  • Transaction patterns

Continuous authentication:

Rather than authenticating once at login, systems continuously verify identity throughout sessions. If behavioural patterns suddenly change, different typing rhythm, unusual navigation, atypical transaction patterns the system flags itimmediately.

The Gartner perspective:

According to their 2025 Hype Cycle for Fraud and Financial Crime Prevention, behavioural biometrics are moving from early adoption into mainstream deployment. By 2027, expect behavioural analytics to be standard in financial platforms serving enterprises.

What this means for your operation:

Future fraud prevention platforms will incorporate behavioural analytics automatically.Users won't experience additional friction—the system learns their patternspassively and flags anomalies invisibly. This creates seamless security:maximum protection with minimal user impact.

The death of point solutions: rise of unified platforms

Gartner's research shows that fragmented fraud prevention tools create gaps fraudsters exploit. Organisations running separate systems for invoice processing, payment authorization, supplier management and fraud detection create blind spots between systems.

The future Gartner predicts:

Point solutions from multiple business functions will be consolidated into unified platforms centred around case management and decisioning engines. Organisations will replace 5-10 specialised tools with comprehensive platforms providing integrated capabilities.

Why this matters:

  • Data silos disappear: All information flows into unified data model
  • Faster detection: Anomalies visible across entire transaction lifecycle
  • Better decisions: Context from multiple sources informs single decision
  • Lower cost: One platform costs less than many tools
  • Simpler operations: One supplier relationship, one training program, one support contact

The supplier consolidation trend:

Expect significant M&A activity as fraud detection vendors, payment processors, procurement platforms and ERP providers acquire capabilities to build comprehensive platforms. Organisations should favour suppliers with broad capability roadmaps over best-of-breed point solutions.

What this means for your operation:

Evaluate platforms, not products. Ask vendors about their vision for comprehensive coverage, not just their current feature set. Favour solutions designed for integration and expansion over standalone tools.

Cyber-Fraud Fusion: The organisational imperative

Gartner predicts that by 2026, 50% of large financial institutions and online retailers will consolidate online fraud prevention personnel, duties and responsibilities into cyber operations.

This represents fundamental organisational transformation. Fraud prevention is no longer a Finance function using financial controls. It's an enterprise risk function requiring expertise in cybersecurity, identity management, data analytics and operational processes.

Cyber-Fraud Fusion characteristics:

  • Cross-functional teams including IT security, fraud specialists, data scientists and operations experts
  • Unified platforms providing visibility across cyber, fraud and identity domains
  • Shared threat intelligence feeding real-time defensive systems
  • Integrated incident response protocols
  • Enterprise-wide risk governance

The case for fusion: Fraudsters don't respect organisational boundaries. A BEC attack exploits email security (IT domain), targets payment authorisation (Finance domain), and manipulates operational requests (Operations domain). Defending requires unified visibility and coordinated response.

What this means for your operation:

Organisations still treating fraud prevention as a Finance problem will fall behind those embracing enterprise-wide approaches. Start building cross-functional capabilities now. Create teams with diverse expertise. Implement platforms that serve multiple stakeholders.

Why multi-site operations need purpose-built solutions

Generic accounting software and standalone fraud detection tools weren't designed for the unique challenges of multi-site operations in hospitality, care and leisure sectors. As fraud becomes more sophisticated and regulatory requirements intensify, this mismatch becomes critical.

Operational context, not just financial data

Understanding whether a £5,000 food order is legitimate requires knowing:

  • Expected demand levels across your sites
  • Historical purchase patterns for similar periods
  • Real-time inventory positions
  • Seasonal variations in operations
  • Staffing levels and events planned
  • Supplier delivery schedules

Generic systems process financial transactions without operational context. They can't distinguish between a legitimate surge purchase for a fully-booked weekend and a fraudulent invoice from a ghost supplier, both look like large purchases from an accounting perspective.

Scale without complexity

Processing thousands of invoices monthly across dozens or hundreds of locations creates challenges generic systems can't handle:

The scaling problems:

  • Manual processes that work for 100 invoices monthly fail at 1,000
  • Controls effective for 5 locations become bottlenecks at 50
  • Visibility sufficient for single-site becomes impossible across multiple sites
  • Approval workflows manageable with small teams break down at enterprise scale

Purpose-built solutions scale elegantly:

  • Automated anomaly detection works equally well with 100 or 10,000 invoices
  • Centralised visibility with local flexibility, each site operates autonomously within intelligent guardrails
  • Consistent controls don't slow down as operations expand
  • AI learns patterns across all sites simultaneously, improving detection with scale

The paradox:

Multi-site operations create fraud vulnerability through complexity, but they also generate the data volume that makes AI-driven fraud detection most effective. Purpose-built platforms exploit this paradox, using the scale that creates vulnerability to power the intelligence that provides protection.

Proactive intelligence, not reactive alerts

Traditional systems report problems after they occur:

  • Duplicate invoice detected after payment processed
  • Ghost supplier identified after several payments made
  • Invoice manipulation discovered during month-end reconciliation
  • Unusual spending patterns noticed in quarterly reviews

Modern fraud prevention requires proactive intelligence:

  • Predictive analytics identify potential fraud before payments execute
  • Real-time supplier performance monitoring flags deteriorating relationships
  • Automated compliance checking prevents violations before they occur
  • Intelligent routing flags high-risk transactions for additional review during approval flow

The intelligence advantage:

Purpose-built platforms learn continuously from operational patterns, supplier behaviors and fraud attempts, across all clients, all locations, all transactions. This creates network effects: the more organisations use the platform, the better it becomes at detecting emerging fraud tactics.

Generic systems can't achieve this. They lack the operational context, the multi-site data aggregation and the industry-specific pattern libraries that make proactive intelligence possible.

The OmniPATH vision for 2026 and beyond

OmniPATH was built specifically to embody the future Gartner predicts: unified platforms providing Cyber-Fraud Fusion capabilities with operational context designed for multi-site complexity.

Unified Data Intelligence: Operations, Finance and IT working from single source of truth, eliminating gaps fraudsters exploit.

Real-Time Decisioning: Fraud detection embedded in transaction flow, making decisions in milliseconds during payment processing.

AI-Driven Protection: LEDGE AI agent learning continuously from operational patterns, financial transactions and security events across all clients.

Behavioral Analytics: Not just transaction monitoring but behavioural pattern analysis, how users interact, how suppliers behave, how sites operate.

Regulatory Readiness: E-invoicing compliance built-in, payment regulation compatibility designed from foundation, audit trails and reporting meeting emerging requirements.

Purpose-Built for Multi-Site: Not retro-fitted generic software but platform designed specifically for operational complexity of hospitality, care and leisure sectors.

The Protection-Efficiency Balance: Unlike security solutions that slow operations or efficiency tools that create vulnerabilities, OmniPATH accelerates legitimate operations while stopping fraudulent ones.

Conclusion

The future of invoice fraud prevention is clear: unified platforms providing real-time, AI-driven protection with behavioural analytics and operational context, embedded in Cyber-Fraud Fusion organisational structures, meeting regulatory requirements that haven't yet been written.

The convergence of technology trends (real-time payments, AI, behavioural biometrics), regulatory changes (e-invoicing mandates, payment reimbursement requirements), and organisational evolution (Cyber-Fraud Fusion) creates an inflection point. Organisations that transform now, before external pressure forces their hand, gain sustainable competitive advantage.

For multi-site operations in hospitality, care and leisure sectors, the choice is particularly stark. Generic solutions can't provide the operational context, scaling characteristics, and industry-specific intelligence you need. Point solutions create the gaps fraudsters exploit. Manual processes guarantee failure at scale.

Purpose-built unified platforms aren't a luxury, they're the minimum viable infrastructure for surviving in an environment where fraudsters use AI, regulators demand compliance and customers expect seamless operations.

The organisations that thrive in 2026 and beyond will be those that recognised in 2025 that fraud prevention isn't a cost center, it's operational infrastructure as essential as your payment systems, as critical as your property management platforms, as fundamental as your accounting software.

Because in the future that's coming, you can't protect what you've earned without systems designed specifically to protect it.

The question isn't whether to invest in purpose-built unified fraud prevention, it's whether you'll transform proactively on your timeline, or reactively when external pressure forces your hand.

OmniPATH exists for organisations choosing the former.

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